A Model of Returns And Trading in Futures Markets  

Oleh:

Hong, Harrison

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: The Journal of Finance (EBSCO) vol. 55 no. 2 (2000), page 959-988.
Topik: trading; futures market; futures trading; volatility; information; mathematical models; studies
Fulltext: p 959.pdf (382.05KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ88.1 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

This paper develops an equilibrium model of a competitive futures market in which investors trade to hedge positions and to speculate on their private information. Equilibrium return and trading patterns are examined. 1. in markets where the information asymmetry among investors is small, the return volatility of a futures contract decreases with time - to - maturity (i. e. the samuelson effect holds) 2. however in markets where the information asymmetry among investors is large, the samuelson effect need not hold 3. additionally , the model generates rich time - to - maturity patterns in open interest and spot price volatility that are consistent with empriical findings

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