Preliminary Validation of the Juvenile First Offender Risk Assessment Index  

Oleh:

Risler, Edwin A. ; Sutphen, Richard ; Shields, John

Jenis: Article from Journal - e-Journal
Dalam koleksi: Research on Social Work Practice vol. 10 no. 1 (Jan. 2000), page 111-126.
Fulltext: 111RSWP101.pdf (60.08KB)

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Objective: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the validity of the First Offender Risk Assessment Index (FORAI) in predicting delinquent behavior. The measure is composed of seven predictor variables: family’s history of criminal involvement, school functioning, substance abuse, peer group associations, parental supervision, age at first court referral, and seriousness of the referring offense. Method: Longitudinal data on rates of recidivism were collected for 181 first offenders who, along with their parents, were previously administered the FORAI. Results: The data analysis indicated that the FORAI correctly classified the recidivism of more than 70% of the study sample and that four of the seven predictor variables in the measure were found statistically significant. Conclusions: The results suggest that the FORAI, as a composite measure, could provide a meaningful approach to the early identification of at-risk youth and is a valid predictor of recidivism among a first-offender population. Implications for social work practice are also discussed.

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