Childhood Predictors of Offense Trajectories  

Oleh:

Nagin, Daniel S. ; Hill, Karl G. ; Gilchrist, Lewayne D. ; Hawkins, J. David ; Ick-Joong Chung

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency (http://jrc.sagepub.com/) vol. 39 no. 1 (Feb. 2002), page 60-90.
Topik: childhood; childhood; predictor; trajectories
Fulltext: 60.pdf (172.16KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ95.3 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

Previous research has shown heterogeneity in offense trajectories. Using data from the seattle social development project, a longitudinal study of 808 youths followed since 1985, this study seeks to identify childhood predictors of different offense trajectories. Five offense trajectories were identified using semiparametric, group - based modeling, non offenders, late onsetters, desisters, escalators and chronic offenders. Multinational logistic regression were then emploued to examine childhood predictors measured at ages 10 to 12 that distinguish these five groups. Results indicated that among initial non offenders at age 13, late onsetters were distinguished from non offenders by individual factors. Among youth already delinquent at age 13, escalators were distinguished from desisters by peer, school and neighborhood factors.

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