Are Comparative Risk Judgments Consistent Across Time and Events ?  

Oleh:

Shepperd, James A. ; Ortega, Ligia ; Helweg-Larsen, Marie

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin (http://journals.sagepub.com/home/pspc) vol. 29 no. 9 (2003), page 1169-1180.
Topik: risks; comparative optimism; risk judgements; judgement consistency
Fulltext: 1169.pdf (145.06KB)

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Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: PP45.15 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

Research reveals pervasive optimism in people's comparative risk judgments such that people believe they are less likely than others to experience negative events. Two studies explored the extent to which people are consistent in their comparative risk judgements across time and events. Both studies found strong evidence for consistency across time and some evidence for consistency across events. The consistency across time and events was moderated by experience. Specifically, when viewed together, the studies suggest that experience produces an initial decrease in the consistency of comparative judgements (Study 2), followed by greater consistency in subsequent judgements (Study 1). The discussion focuses on reconciling evidence demonstrating consistency with evidence demonstrating variability.

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