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Causes of Effects and Effects of Causes
Oleh:
Pearl, Judea
Jenis:
Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi:
Sociological Methods & Research (SMR) vol. 44 no. 01 (Feb. 2015)
,
page 149-164.
Topik:
probability of necessity
;
probability of causation
;
counterfactuals
;
legal liability
;
attribution
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan PKPM
Nomor Panggil:
S28
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
This article summarizes a conceptual framework and simple mathematical methods of estimating the probability that one event was a necessary cause of another, as interpreted by lawmakers. We show that the fusion of observational and experimental data can yield informative bounds that, under certain circumstances, meet legal criteria of causation. We further investigate the circumstances under which such bounds can emerge, and the philosophical dilemma associated with determining individual cases from statistical data.
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