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Eyes off the prize; The swing states: Pennsylvania
Oleh:
[s.n]
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
The Economist (http://search.proquest.com/) vol. 405 no. 8807 (Oct. 2012)
,
page 37.
Topik:
Presidential Elections
;
States
;
Voter Behavior
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
EE29.74
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
Between his first inauguration and the presidential election of 2004, George W. Bush paid no fewer than 44 visits to Pennsylvania, a battleground state that he was determined to deny to his Democratic opponent, John Kerry. So fierce was his ardour that, late in the campaign, he found time to fly to rural Lancaster County, there to meet and woo the straw-hatted, horse-and-buggy-driving Amish. In vain: Mr Kerry won Pennsylvania, albeit by only 144,000 votes out of almost 5.8m cast. The last Republican presidential candidate to win Pennsylvania was the elder George Bush, in 1988. Yet the state, with its 20 Electoral College votes, is more finely balanced than that record would suggest. Reasons include population shifts out of the big cities; a hardening of conservative views among working-class "Reagan Democrats" in the state's south-west; and a history of ticket-splitting. Barack Obama won Pennsylvania by some 620,000 votes four years ago, and is five points ahead in opinion polls there this time. But he won almost 600,000 of his votes in Philadelphia, the rambunctious, mostly non-white, overwhelmingly Democratic city that dominates the state's south-east. Narrower victories in the Philadelphia suburbs, as well as in the western city of Pittsburgh and a small handful of blue-collar, union-heavy counties then carried him across the line. To win, Mr Obama will need another whopping turnout among core supporters
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