Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Industri Manufaktur pada Kinerja Makroekonomi Indonesia  

Oleh:

Saimul ; Tambunan, M. ; Oktaviani, R. ; Firdaus, M.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah nasional
Dalam koleksi: Jurnal Organisasi dan Manajemen vol. 7 no. 2 (Sep. 2011), page 75-85.
Topik: Agro-Industry Exports; Exports of Non-Agroindustry; Macroeconomic Performance; Model; Vector Auto-Regression (VAR)
Fulltext: Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor Saimul.pdf (220.05KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ153.2 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

The exports of manufacturing industry which consists of the export agro-industry and non-agroindustry, has an important role influencing the development of Indonesia's macroeconomic performance. This study aims to analyze the influence of manufacturing industry exports to Indonesia's macroeconomic performance. The study uses quarterly time series data from 1990 to 2009. Using VAR analysis model, the results of research are in short-term shocks to export agro-industry manufacturing has a positive effect on economic growth by 0.10%, but a negative effect on net exports, inflation, and exchange rates. Conversely, in the long term the shock has a negative effect on performance macro-economy Indonesia. While the non-agroindustry export shocks in both the short and long term, has a positive effect on macroeconomic performance, except to the exchange rate has decreased in the long run.

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