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Hysteresis and The Duration of The J-Curve
Oleh:
Dixit, Avinash
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
JAPAN AND THE WORLD ECONOMY vol. 6 no. 2 (1994)
,
page 105-116.
Topik:
DURATION ANALYSIS
;
hysteresis
;
duration
;
J - curve
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
JJ47.4
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
The hysterisis concept suggests that the trade volume will respond when the exchange rate reaches a certain threshold. The expected time lag depends on the parameters of the stochastic process of the rate, and its initial position. The experience of Yen - Dollar fluctuations and Japan - US trade imbalances in the 1980s is examined in the light of this theory. The special feature distinguishing the 1985 – 1987 experience is found to be the high initial value of the dollar, far above the threshold for trade response. A reinterpretation of the J - curve concept to allow variable lags is suggested.
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