Prediksi Iklim di Indonesia Akibat Perubahan Suhu Permukaan Laut di Sumadra Pasifik Tahun 2010  

Oleh:

Zubaidah, Andi ; Haryani, Nanaik Suryo

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah nasional - tidak terakreditasi DIKTI
Dalam koleksi: Widya: Majalah Ilmiah vol. 28 no. 312 (Sep. 2011), page 56-63.
Topik: Teknologi; Iklim; Suhu Permukaan Laut; Samudera Pasifik; La Nina; El Nino; Fenomena

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: MM47.30 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

Lihat Detail Induk

Isi artikel

The climate condition in Indonesia is influenced by El Nino and La Nina phenomenon which forms the anomaly of sea surface temperature (SST) in the east and centre tropical Pacific. Climate prediction model in the form of Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) prediction and rainfall estimation in Indonesia up to 5 month ahead has been developed based on the SST anomaly input in Pacific Ocean. The aim of this research is to predict the monthly rainfall up 5 month ahead based on sea surface temperature anomaly (SPL) of tropical Pacific. The resukt of El Nino prediction analysis from International Research Institute (IRI) shows that most of the model predicted the existence of medium El Nino on the period of January-February-March up to March-April-May 2010, and then goes to neutral up to April-May-June 2010. Further, the climate condition is predicted as wek La Nina up to the end of 2010. The early prediction shows the dry season of 2010 starts on May in NTT, NTB and Bali provinces. The start of rainy seasons of 2010/2011 is predicted on September 2010 starting from NAD Province. The fully rainfall is predicted to widely extends on November 2010 and paeking on December 2010.

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