Inflation, exchange rates and PPP in a multivariate panel cointegration model  

Oleh:

Jacobson, Tor ; Lyhagen, Johan ; Larsson, Rolf ; Nessen, Marianne

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: The Econometrics Journal vol. 11 no. 1 (2008), page 58-79.
Topik: Panel Data; Long-run Purchasing Power Parity; Multivariate Cointegration Analysis; Bootstrap Inference
Fulltext: 58.pdf (164.48KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: EE39.4 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

New multivariate panel cointegration methods are used to analyze nominal exchange rates and prices in four major economies in Europe: France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom for the post-Bretton Woods period. We test for purchasing power parity (PPP) between these four countries and find that the theoretical PPP relationship does not hold. However, the estimated unrestricted relationship is found to be remarkably close to the theoretical one (1, -1.5, 0.9 instead of 1, -1,1). Relevant asymptotic results are stated, proved, and evaluated using Monte Carlo simulations. The asymptotic results are general and may hence be used in similar empirical contexts using the same model structure. Parametric bootstrap inference is used in order to deal with test size distortions.

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