European Energy and CO2 Emissions Trends to 2020: PRIMES model v.2  

Oleh:

Capros, P. ; Mantzos, L. ; Vouyoukas, L. ; Petrellis, D.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Bulletin of Science, Technology & Society vol. 19 no. 6 (Dec. 1999), page 474-492.
Topik: Energy analysis; energy forecasting; energy market; environment; European Union
Fulltext: 474BSTS196.pdf (209.16KB)

Isi artikel

The purpose of this article is to present a summary of a consistent European Union (EU) energy and energy-related emissions outlook for the period to 2020. The material presented here is based on quantitative analysis and on a process of communication with and feedback from a number of energy experts and organizations. All the results presented for EU energy trends are based on the PRIMES partial equilibrium model for the European energy system, version 2. The PRIMES model provides simulation of the energy system and the decisions of the agents and the markets, covering in detail several sectors, uses, and technologies. The results of this analysis indicate that the EU will not meet the obligations for greenhouse gas emissions reductions it undertook at Kyoto unless it introduces policy initiatives for the abatement of energyrelated emissions. Although the industrial, tertiary, household, and transportation sectors can all make significant contributions to CO2 emissions reductions, the electricity- and steam-generation sector appears to offer the greatest potential because of its relative flexibility in terms of technology and fuel choice. Finally, when the only criterion for emissions reductions is economic efficiency, our analysis indicates that reduction levels differ significantly amongEUcountries.

Opini Anda

Klik untuk menuliskan opini Anda tentang koleksi ini!

Kembali