Intensity Bias in Affective Forecasting : The Role of Temporal Focus  

Oleh:

Buehler, Roger ; McFarland, Cathy

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin (http://journals.sagepub.com/home/pspc) vol. 27 no. 11 (2001), page 1480-1493.
Topik: FORECASTING; intensity bias; forecasting; role of temporal focus
Fulltext: 1480PSPB2711.pdf (109.79KB)

Isi artikel

In five studies, university students predicted their affective reactions to a wide variety of positive and negative future events. In Studies 1 to 3, participants also reported the affective reactions they experienced when the target event occurred. As hypothesized, they tended to anticipate more intense reactions than they actually experienced. In Studies 3 to 5, a cognitive determinant of this "intensity bias" was examined. It was hypothesized that people anticipate stronger affective reactions when they focus narrowly on an upcoming event in a manner that neglects past experience and less intense reactions when they consider a set of relevant previous experiences. Evidence from thought - listing measures as well as an experimental manipulation of temporal focus supported this hypothesis.

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