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ArtikelA Comparison of Several Consensus Forecasts  
Oleh: Townsend, Henry
Jenis: Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi: BUSINESS ECONOMICS vol. 31 no. 1 (1996), page 53-55.
Topik: consensus; comparison; several consensus; forecasts
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  • Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
    • Nomor Panggil: BB20.3
    • Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
    • Tandon: tidak ada
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Isi artikelFour consensus forecasts have been in existence long enough to answer the question : "Which consensus forecast is the best ?" Several familiar error statistics, such as the mean error of forecasts, over the past twelve years seem to establish a fairly clear ranking among the four. However, more powerful statistical models show that the ranking is probably a matter of chance, and no statistically significant differences exist in the accuracy of the four consensus forecasts.
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