An Evaluation of The Composite Index of Leading Indicators for Signaling Turning Points in Business and Growth Cycles  

Oleh:

Fredman, Giela T. ; Niemira, Michael P.

Jenis: Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi: BUSINESS ECONOMICS vol. 26 no. 4 (1991), page 49-55.
Topik: evaluation; composite index; signalling turning points; business; growth cycles

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: BB20.1 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

This study of cyclical indicator found : 1. the composite indexes contain more reliable turning point information than most of the individual indicators 2. the commerce department's composite index would benefit by some component substitutions 3. the ratio of the coincident to lagging indicators is more reliable in calling business cycle turning points than the composite of leading indicators, but that ratio has a poor track record in calling growth cycles and 4. most of the individual components of the composite index of leading indicators signal growth cycle turning points better than business cycles turning points.

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