Predicting Decade - Long Changes in Community Motor Vehicle Teft Rates : Impacts of Structure and Surround  

Oleh:

Walsh, Jeffrey A. ; Taylor, Ralph B.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency (http://jrc.sagepub.com/) vol. 44 no. 1 (2007), page 64-90.
Topik: COMMUNITY; motor vehicle theft; communities crime; ecology; spatial dependence
Fulltext: 64.pdf (147.94KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ95.8 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

Motor vehicle theft (MVT) is arguably the most under researched Part I crime. This work predicts long - term changes in community MVT rates, extrapolating from earlier work in community fabric and changing personal crime and delinquency rates and cross - sectional work on MVT. Police data on MVTs generated MVT rates in one Midwestern city in 1990 - 1991 and 2000 - 2001 that were linked with census block group data. MVT rates went up later in communities more racially mixed initially and in those surrounded by initially higher MVT rates, suggesting extant community structure and surrounding crime generate subsequently unfolding impacts on MVT. A second series of models links changing MVT rates with contemporaneously increasing racial heterogeneity, decreasing community instability, and increasing surrounding MVT rates. Some associations between community structure and changing delinquency or crime appear relevant to shifting MVT rates. Resident - based, target - linked, and offender - dependent processes to he investigated are outlined.

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