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ArtikelAssessing The Impact of Exposure Time and Incapacitation on Longitudinal Trajectories of Criminal Offending  
Oleh: Brame, Robert ; Piquero, Alex R. ; Mulvey, Edward P. ; Nagin, Daniel S. ; Haapanen, Rudy ; Blumstein, Alfred
Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Journal of Adolescent Research (http://jar.sagepub.com/) vol. 16 no. 1 (Jan. 2001), page 54-74.
Topik: EXPOSURE; exposure time; incapacitation; longitudinal trajectories; criminal offending
Fulltext: 54.pdf (157.71KB)
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  • Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
    • Nomor Panggil: JJ81.2
    • Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
    • Tandon: tidak ada
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Isi artikelThe authors examine the potential effect of accounting for exposure time by examining the arrests of 272 serious offenders who were paroled at age 18 and followed through age 333. The authors describe the overall change in the arrest rate over the 16 year period with and without adjustments for exposure time. The authors also examine latent class models that decompose the heterogeneity of arrest rate trends, with and without variation in exposure time. Two results are noteworthy : a. conclusions about the level of arrest activity did depend on adjustments for exposure time, but the overall trend in arrest activity did note depend on these adjustments, and b. latent class analysis without exposure time adjustment suggested that more than 92% of the sample exhibited their higher level of arrest activity in late teens and early 20s, then offending declined during the late 20 s and early 30 s. When adjusted for exposure time, the analysis revealed that about 72& of the sample exhibited this decline, the remainder remained quite active in offending.
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