Lucky Events and Beliefs in Luck : Paradoxical Effects on Confidence and Risk-Taking  

Oleh:

Freedman, Jonathan L. ; Darke, Peter R.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin (http://journals.sagepub.com/home/pspc) vol. 23 no. 4 (1997), page 378-388.
Topik: risk taking; risk - taking; paradoxical effects; lucky events; belief
Fulltext: 378.pdf (2.11MB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: PP45.1 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

Lihat Detail Induk

Isi artikel

The effects of a lucky event and irrational beliefs about luck were examined. In two experiments, some subjects experienced a lucky event, whereas others did not. All subjects then completed an unrelated decision task rated their confidence, and placed a bet. The effects of a lucky experience depended substantially on individual beliefs concerning the causal properties of luck. After the lucky event, those who believed in luck (i. e., thought of luck as a stable, personal attribute) were more confident and bet more, whereas those who did not believe in luck (i. e., thought luck was random) were less confident and bet less. A third experiment identified analogous effects using multiple - choice test questions that included a monetary penalty for errors. Increased expectations following initial luck were interpreted in terms of a lucky streak effect, whereas the paradoxical decrease in expectancy was viewed as an instance of the gamblers' fallacy.

Opini Anda

Klik untuk menuliskan opini Anda tentang koleksi ini!

Kembali