Model Persamaan Simultan untuk Analisis Permintaan dan Penawaran Komoditas Beras di Indonesia  

Oleh:

Saadah, Siti

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah nasional - tidak terakreditasi DIKTI - atma jaya
Dalam koleksi: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis vol. 5 no. 1 (Feb. 2005), page 1-13.
Topik: Demand; Simultaneous Equation Model; Supply
Fulltext: Siti Saadah.pdf (729.24KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ100.5 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

In 1984, Indonesia was success as a country that could fulfill its society needs for rice commodity, but the condition could not be survived anymore. After 1990, the Indonesia's rice import was increased from the average of 200 thousands ton from the period of 1++0 to be 1.5 million before economic crisis (1995-1997) annualy, Then, in 1998-2001 the rice commidity import was increased in average to be 3.3 million ton annually. This quantity is more than 10% from the domestic rice consumption needs, government should provide more currency reserve for this condition. The problem of rice is actually related to the structure of demand and supply this commodity. The lack of accurate information for the real needs of rice import will have a larga impact. In one side, Indonesia would lack of rice if Indonesia's rice production decreased. meanwhile the rate of rice import isn't projected to fulfill the less consumption needs, but in the other side Indonesia will have more rice if the Indonesia's rice production reaches the target and the importers use the weak of the rice import regulation by import the rice ilegally. This research tries to estimate the model of supply and demand of rice, to predict the real needs of rice. Demand, supply and rice price are interconnected power simultaneously and dynamically in a system so that these parameters in a supply and demand model are estimated by simultaneous equation system.

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