The Causal Relationship among Malaysian Infant Mortality, Fertility and Female Labour Supply  

Oleh:

Siah, Audrey K.L. ; Lee, Grace H.Y.

Jenis: Article from Proceeding
Dalam koleksi: The International Symposium on Social Sciences (TISSS) and Hong Kong International Conference on Education, Psychology and Society (HKICEPS) at Hongkong, December 2013, page 368-375.
Topik: Fertility; female labour supply; bounds testing approach; Granger causality
Fulltext: Hong Kong-Conference 56.pdf (676.45KB)

Isi artikel

In reviewing the population policy in 1984, Malaysian government called for a major shift from family planning to family and human resource development to achieve an ultimate population of 70 million by 2100. However, regardless of the government’s initiatives since the 1984, Malaysia’s fertility rate still declined. This study employs the unit root test which allows for two structural breaks. The break dates are then used as dummy variables in the bounds testing procedure within an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) modelling approach and Granger-causality tests to examine shot-run and long-run causal relationships among Malaysian infant mortality rate, fertility and female labour supply. The results indicate that mortality changes have a significant and positive long-run impact on fertility rate and women’s child bearing decisions are unaffected by their employment situation. In addition, we do not find evidence that presence of children hinders re-employment and continuous female employment.

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