Detail Facing The Future   Oleh:  Zarowin, Stanley Jenis: Article from Bulletin/Magazine Dalam koleksi: Journal of Accountancy vol. 191 no. 4 (2001), page 26-32. Topik: FUTURE; facing; future Ketersediaan Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: JJ85.12 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada     Lihat Detail Induk Isi artikel Are you ready for tomorrow’s technology ? Do you have the latest, fastest hardware and software ? Is your network software the most current ? Are you heeding the advice of your technology consultants and keeping tabs on upgrades and innovations ? In short, are you making sure you won’t be caught flatfooted, as were many CPA s in the late 1980s and early 1990s when computers, fax machines and then the Internet invaded and transformed the business world ? If you’ve answered yes to these questions and you feel confident that you’re ready for the future, pause a minute to consider the experience of Charles Duell, who, as the director of the U. S. Patent Office at the dawn of the 20th century, considered himself to be in the best position to assess the future of technology. He looked ahead and confidently prophesized that “everything that can be invented has been invented.” Oops! What makes his error interesting and the reason CPAs today should consider it carefully is not so much that he was wrong but why he was wrong. He committed the same error then that many people who plan for future technology commit today : He viewed tomorrow as an extension - or more correctly, as an extrapolation - of today. He failed to acknowledge a basic and essential truth : The future ain’t what it used to be. And that’s because an extrapolation, if it has any value at all, usually is valid only for the short term. It’s like forecasting the weather : The farther out the prediction, the less accurate the forecast. Opini Anda Klik untuk menuliskan opini Anda tentang koleksi ini! Kembali

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