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An Empirical Investigation on The Time-Series Behavior of The U. S. - China Trade Deficit
Oleh:
Yangru, Wu
;
Junxi, Zhang
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
Journal of Asian Economics vol. 9 no. 3 (1998)
,
page 467-486.
Topik:
TRADES
;
investigation
;
time - series behaviour
;
trade deficit
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
JJ50.3
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
This article is concerned with the time - series behaviour of the U. S. bilateral trade deficit with China. It performs a unit - root analysis and a cointegration test on U.S. exports to and imports from China. Our results show that the stationarity hypothesis is uniformly rejected for a variety of trade measures over a number of model specifications, which is robust even if endogenously determined structural breaks, both single and multiple, are allowed. Furthermore, it is found that imports and exports are cointegrated with a coefficient substantially larger than one. Our findings put a step toward a better understanding of the issue.
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