The Logic of Process Tracing Tests in the Social Sciences  

Oleh:

Mahoney, James

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Sociological Methods & Research (SMR) vol. 41 no. 04 (Nov. 2012), page 570-597.
Topik: Causal Inference; Case Studies; Hypothesis Testing; Deductive-Nomological Model
Fulltext: S28 v41 n4 p570,win.pdf (179.34KB)

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Perpustakaan PKPM Nomor Panggil: S28 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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This article discusses process tracing as a methodology for testing hypotheses in the social sciences. With process tracing tests, the analyst combines preexisting generalizations with specific observations from within a single case to make causal inferences about that case. Process tracing tests can be used to help establish that (1) an initial event or process took place, (2) a subsequent outcome also occurred, and (3) the former was a cause of the latter. The article focuses on the logic of different process tracing tests, including hoop tests, smoking gun tests, and straw in the wind tests. New criteria for judging the strength of these tests are developed using ideas concerning the relative importance of necessary and sufficient conditions. Similarities and differences between process tracing and the deductive-nomological model of explanation are explored.

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