Optimism Following a Tornado Disaster  

Oleh:

Suls, Jerry ; Rose, Jason P. ; Windschitl, Paul D. ; Smith, Andrew R.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin (http://journals.sagepub.com/home/pspc) vol. 39 no. 5 (May 2013), page 691-702.
Topik: Risk Perception; Unrealistic Optimism; Natural Disaster; Absolute and Comparative Risk; Social Comparison
Fulltext: Pers Soc Psychol Bull-2013-Suls-691-702_her.pdf (328.32KB)

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Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: PP45.49 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Effects of exposure to a severe weather disaster on perceived future vulnerability were assessed in college students, local residents contacted through random-digit dialing, and community residents of affected versus unaffected neighborhoods. Students and community residents reported being less vulnerable than their peers at 1 month, 6 months, and 1 year after the disaster. In Studies 1 and 2, absolute risk estimates were more optimistic with time, whereas comparative vulnerability was stable. Residents of affected neighborhoods (Study 3), surprisingly, reported less comparative vulnerability and lower “gut-level” numerical likelihood estimates at 6 months, but later their estimates resembled the unaffected residents. Likelihood estimates (10%-12%), however, exceeded the 1% risk calculated by storm experts, and gut-level versus statistical-level estimates were more optimistic. Although people believed they had approximately a 1-in-10 chance of injury from future tornadoes (i.e., an overestimate), they thought their risk was lower than peers.

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