Fertility Transitions in Developing Countries: Progress or Stagnation?  

Oleh:

Bongaarts, John

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Studies in Family Planning vol. 39 no. 02 (Jun. 2008), page 105-110.
Topik: Fertility Transitions; Developing Countries; Stalling Fertility.
Fulltext: s26 v39 n1 p105 2008 win.pdf (980.16KB)

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan PKPM Nomor Panggil: S26 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

Over the past quarter-century, fertility has declined rapidly in many developing countries. Projections typically assume that this trend will continue until replacement level is reached. Recent evidence suggests, however, that ongoing fertility declines may have slowed or stalled in a number of countries in transition. This study examines the pace of fertility change in developing countries that have multiple Demographic and Health Surveys to determine whether ongoing transitions are decelerating or stalling. The main findings are that in sub-Saharan African countries, the average pace of decline in fertility was lower around 2000 than in the mid-1990s and that more than half the countries in transition in this region have stalled.

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