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Keeping it to Themselves; Oil Prices
Oleh:
[s.n]
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
The Economist (http://search.proquest.com/) vol. 402 no. 8778 (Mar. 2012)
,
page 75-76.
Topik:
Crude Oil Prices
;
Supply & Demand
;
Business Forecasts
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
EE29.71
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
Oil prices, at around $125 for a barrel of Brent crude, are so high due to the long-term trends are meagre supply growth and soaring demand from China and other emerging economies. And in the short term, the market is tight, supplies have been disrupted and Iran is making everyone nervous. Saudi Arabia, the only OPEC member with enough spare capacity to make up supply shortfalls, is the best hope of keeping the market stable. Yet these calculations do not take account of the region's growing thirst for its own oil. Between 2000 and 2010 China increased its consumption of oil more than any other country, by 4.3m b/d, a 90% jump. It now gets through more than 10% of the world's oil. More surprising is the country that increased its consumption by the second-largest increment: Saudi Arabia, which upped its oil-guzzling by 1.2m b/d. At some 2.8m b/d, it is now the world's sixth-largest consumer, getting through more than a quarter of its 10m b/d output. The longer-term picture is equally worrying. Global demand for oil is projected to rise to over 100m b/d by 2030. The Gulf states of Saudi Arabia, Iran and Iraq, which have vast and easily accessible reserves, are regarded as the obvious sources of new supply. But Iranian oil production will decline as sanctions bite and the country loses access to equipment and expertise.
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