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Epidemiological Perspectives on Type 1 Diabetes in Childhood and Adolescence in Germany 20 years of the Baden-Württemberg Diabetes Incidence Registry (DIARY)
Oleh:
Ehehalt, Stefan
;
Dietz, Klaus
Jenis:
Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi:
Diabetes Care vol. 33 no. 02 (Feb. 2010)
,
page 338-340.
Topik:
DIABETES
;
DIABETES MELLITUS
;
Epidemiological Perspectives
;
Type 1 Diabetes
;
Childhood
;
Adolescence
;
Germany
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan FK
Nomor Panggil:
D05.K.2010.01
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
OBJECTIVE : To predict the frequency of type 1 diabetes in childhood and adolescence (<15 years of age) in Germany for the next 20 years. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS : Data on diabetes onset has been collected by means of a registry in the federal German state of Baden-Württemberg (documentation period, 1987–2006; n = 5,108; completeness of data 98.1%). RESULTS : The current incidence rate (2000–2006) is 19.4 per 100,000 per year (95% CI 18.6–20.2). The annual incidence rate can be expressed as a square of a linear function of the calendar year X [y = (3.05 + 0.0778 × {X–1986})2; r2 = 0.90]. The highest increase per year was observed in the age-groups comprising 2- and 3-year-olds (12 and 13% per year, respectively). The incidence rate for the year 2026 is estimated to be 37.9 per 100,000 per year (95% CI 33.3–42.9). CONCLUSIONS : The increase that we found in younger children is characteristic of a left shift toward an earlier age.
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