The Correspoondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States  

Oleh:

Morgan, S. Philip ; Rackin, Heather

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Population and Development Review vol. 36 no. 01 (Mar. 2010), page 91-118.
Topik: Fertility; Men and Women; Fertility Intentions and Behavior

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan PKPM Nomor Panggil: P18 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

Using data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we describe the correspondence between intended family size and observed fertility for US men and women in the 1957-64 birth cohorts. Mean fertility intentions calculated from reports given in the mid-20s modestly overstate completed fertility. But discrepancies between stated intent and actual fertility are common-the state intent at age 24 (for both women and men) is more likely to miss than to match completed fertility. We focus on factors that predict which women and men will have fewer or more children than intended. Consistent with life-course arguments, those unmarried, childless, or (for women) still in scholl at approximately age 24 were most likely to underachieve their intended parity (i.e,. had fewer children than intended at age 24). We du\iscuss how such discrepancies between intentions and behavior may cumulate to produce sizable cross-group fertility differences.

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