Analisis Keterkaitan Harga antara Kelompok Komoditas Pembentuk Inflasi di Sumatera Barat  

Oleh:

Ramadhan, Gaffari

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah nasional - terakreditasi DIKTI
Dalam koleksi: Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking (ex: Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan) vol. 11 no. 3 (Jan. 2009), page 233-274.
Topik: Consumer Price Index; Regional Inflation; Vectors Errors Corection Model; Impulse Response; Varaiance Decomposition

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: BB62 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

This study analyzes the correlation and The Interaction among commodity groups which determine the inflation rate in West Sumatera. Using the monthly data from January 2002 to December 2008, the estimation applies the vector Error Correction Model (VECM) in order to analyze the dynamics of commodity prices in the model. The result show some some groups have significant contributions in determining other groups prices. We found that the volatility of Prepared Food, Drink, Cigarette, and Tobbaco is affected by Food group, Transportation, Communication and Finacial Services. All commodity group is mostly affected by its own movement, especially for high regulated prices group; Water, Electricity,and Fuel group including Housing. This paper underlines that in controlling regional inflatation, the partial effort by focusing only on the basket goods which gives the highest contributuin to the regional inflatation (i.e. foodstuff and prepared food) is not effective when the region faces high volality in other basket goods(i.e transportation). The price determining of basket goods is a simultaneous process, and controlling the regional inflation needs greater concern to all goods. The government intervention on the price setting is also one the important part in causing the volatility of the basket goods

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