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Monetary Policy and Trade Balance in Indonesia: Evidence from a Structural VAR Analysis (Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Vol.57 No.2, August 2009)
Bibliografi
Author:
Lestano
Topik:
Monetary Policy
;
Exchange Rate
;
Trade Balance
;
Structural VAR
;
Indonesia
Bahasa:
(EN )
Penerbit:
LPEM FE-UI
Tempat Terbit:
Jakarta
Tahun Terbit:
2009
Jenis:
Article - untuk jurnal ilmiah
Fulltext:
Monetary Policy and Trade Balance.pdf
(2.24MB;
25 download
)
Abstract
This paper investigates the response of the trade balance to monetary policy innovations for the Indonesia economy using a structural vector auto regressive (SVAR) model. We estimate three type of SVAR models using monthly data, that is, for full sample (1980:M1 until 2005:M3), pre-(1980:M1-1997:M6), and post-Asian crisis periods (1998:M1-2005:M3). The aim of splitting full sample size is to take into account a sensibility of structural break due to the onset of Asian financial crisis in 1997-1998. The dynamic properties of the model are discussed and monetary policy shocks identified by means of various impulse responses and a variance decomposition.
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