Karakteristik Tekanan Inflasi di Indonesia: Pengaruh Dinamis Sisi Permintaan-Penawaran dan Prospek ke Depan  

Oleh:

Juhro, Solikin M.

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah nasional - terakreditasi DIKTI
Dalam koleksi: Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking (ex: Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan) vol. 9 no. 3 (Jan. 2007), page 73-88.
Topik: Characteristics of Inflation; Supply Shock; Demand Shock; Inflation; Indonesia

Ketersediaan

Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi) Nomor Panggil: BB62.3 Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0) Tandon: tidak ada

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Isi artikel

This preliminary study is aimed to look into characteristics of inflation and sources of shocks triggering inflation pressures in Indonesia. A focus will be directed to find a better measurement about the role of supply and demand shocks. Based on parsimonious model estimation, it can be concluded that the contribution of supply shocks predominant demand shocks 'proportionally', implying that a prudent monetary policy is still feasible and can be implemented effectively along with the structural efforts to combat inflation in Indonesia. A further proliminary exercise shows that the prospect of inflation presures in two year ahead will be statistically the same with the 2006 inflation pressures. However, cautious policy response should be taken in the second year as inflation pressures from supply side will be potentially greater.

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