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Detail
ArtikelLong-Term Return Reversals: Overreaction or Taxes?  
Oleh: George, Thomas J. ; Chuan-Yang, Hwang
Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: The Journal of Finance (EBSCO) vol. 62 no. 6 (Dec. 2007), page 2865-2896.
Topik: Reversal; Overreaction; Tax
Fulltext: p 2865.pdf (202.28KB)
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  • Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
    • Nomor Panggil: JJ88
    • Non-tandon: 1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
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Isi artikelLong-term reversals in U.S. stock returns are better explained as the rational reactions of investors to locked-in capital gain than an irrational overreaction to news. Predictors of returns based on the overreaction hypothesis have no power, while those that measure lock-in capital gains do, completely subsuming past returns measures that are traditionally used to predict long-term returns. In data from Hong-Kong, where investment income is not taxed, reversals are nonexistent, and returns are not forecstable either by traditional measures or by measures based on the capital gains lock-in hypothesis that successfully predict U.S. returns.
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