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Long-Term Return Reversals: Overreaction or Taxes?
Oleh:
George, Thomas J.
;
Chuan-Yang, Hwang
Jenis:
Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi:
The Journal of Finance (EBSCO) vol. 62 no. 6 (Dec. 2007)
,
page 2865-2896.
Topik:
Reversal
;
Overreaction
;
Tax
Fulltext:
p 2865.pdf
(202.28KB)
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
JJ88
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
Long-term reversals in U.S. stock returns are better explained as the rational reactions of investors to locked-in capital gain than an irrational overreaction to news. Predictors of returns based on the overreaction hypothesis have no power, while those that measure lock-in capital gains do, completely subsuming past returns measures that are traditionally used to predict long-term returns. In data from Hong-Kong, where investment income is not taxed, reversals are nonexistent, and returns are not forecstable either by traditional measures or by measures based on the capital gains lock-in hypothesis that successfully predict U.S. returns.
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