Voter Profiles and Fragmentation in the Turkish Party System  

Oleh:

Baslevent, Cem ; Kirmanoglu, Hasan ; senatalar, Burhan

Jenis: Article from Journal - ilmiah internasional
Dalam koleksi: Party Politics vol. 10 no. 3 (May 2004), page 307–324.
Topik: fragmentation
Turkish party system
voter profiles
Fulltext: 307PP103.pdf (116.18KB)

Isi artikel

Based on the multinomial logit estimates of an individual vote intention function, we perform restriction tests to make pairwise comparisons of the voter profiles of the major political parties in Turkey. The economic variables in the model are items that represent the well known hypotheses of economic voting theory, i.e. whether individuals vote retrospectively and/or prospectively, and whether they are sociotropic and/or pocketbook. The non-economic factors include socio-demographic characteristics as well as issues and identity variables that are likely to be good predictors of the party choice. In many cases, restriction tests provide evidence refuting the general view that the Turkish party system is artificially fragmented.

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