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Reliabilitas Metode Auto Regresi untuk Memprediksi foF2 Ionosfer
Oleh:
Rachyany, Sity
;
Habirun
;
Syarifudin
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
Warta Lapan vol. 2 no. 2 (Apr. 2000)
,
page 73-81.
Topik:
reliabilitas hasil prediksi fkrekwensi kritis foF2
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
WW20.2
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
In this paper we discussed reliability of prediction of critical frequency foF2 by using Auto Regression on quiet solar activity, moderate and maximum solar activity. The reliability of prediction results has been done by using verification with qualitative and quantitative correlation, based on data of prediction results and observation of MUF (Maximum Usable Frequency) for communication in various distance from 120 to 2129 km.By analyzing data of foF2 over Pontianak (0.02°S, l09.20°E), Biak (1.1l°S, 13.07°E), and Sumedang (6.90°S, 107.50°E), it is obtained that reliability with using AR prediction method which is explained by standard deviation MUF varied from 1.05 MHz to 4.45 MHz and with ASAPS (Advanced Stand Alone Prediction System) prediction method varied from 2.67 MHz to 5.31 MHz in solar activity toward minimum year 1995. From dispersion of MUF between observed data and calculated data of AR prediction method is obtain correlation value which is varied from 0.61 to 0.97 for each solar activity level.
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