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Autoregressive Conditional Density Estimation
Oleh:
Hansen, Bruce E.
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC REVIEW vol. 35 no. 3 (1994)
,
page 705-730.
Topik:
autoregressive
;
autoregressive
;
conditional
;
density estimation
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan Pusat (Semanggi)
Nomor Panggil:
II49.4
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
Engle's ARCH model is extended to permit parametric specifications for conditional dependence beyond the mean and variance. The suggestion is to model the conditional density with a small number of "parameters," and then model these parameters as functions of the conditioning information. This method is applied to two data sets. The first application is to the monthly excess holding yield on U. S. Treasury securities, where the conditional density used is a student's t distribution. The second application is to the U. S. Dollar / Swiss Franc exchange rate, using a new "skewed student t" conditional distribution.
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