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Large-Scale Spatial-Transmission Models of Infectious Disease
Oleh:
Riley, Steven
Jenis:
Article from Bulletin/Magazine
Dalam koleksi:
SCIENCE (keterangan: ada di Proquest) vol. 316 no. 5829 (Jun. 2007)
,
page 1298.
Ketersediaan
Perpustakaan FK
Nomor Panggil:
S01.K.2007.06
Non-tandon:
1 (dapat dipinjam: 0)
Tandon:
tidak ada
Lihat Detail Induk
Isi artikel
During transmission of seasonal endemic diseases such as measles and influenza, spatial wa' infection have been observed between large distant populations. Also, during the initial sta! an outbreak of a new or reemerging pathogen, disease incidence tends to occur in spatial ell which makes containment possible if you can predict the subsequent spread of disease. Spi3 models are being used with increasing frequency to help characterize these large-scale pat1 and to evaluate the impact of interventions. Here, I review several recent studies on four di that show the benefits of different methodologies: measles (patch models), foot-and-mouth d (distance-transmission models), pandemic influenza (multigroup models), and smallpox (ne1 models). This review highlights the importance of the household in spatial studies of huma diseases, such as smallpox and influenza. It also demonstrates the need to develop a simple of household demographics, so that these large-scale models can be extended to the investi of long-time scale human pathogens, such as tuberculosis and HIV.
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